Dev Utility

FMV Valuation Engine — Sample Scenarios

Five canonical scenarios exercising every calculation step in the modular valuation engine. Each scenario validates a distinct player archetype and expected output pattern.

Scenario 1 — Young High-Potential Winger

Age 21, Eredivisie LW. Strong performance, 9 months contract remaining, excellent tactical fit, high resale upside. Moderate data coverage. Expect: Scout Now, positive alpha.

Manual Review
FMV Low
£6.75M
FMV Base
£9.05M
FMV High
£11.82M
Risk-Adj FMV
£8.60M
Alpha
-4.4%
£-398K
Confidence
70/100
Exp. Acq. Cost
£9.00M
Walkaway
£10.88M
Tactical Fit88
Availability72
Wage Fit87
Injury Risk28
Verification Coverage68
Resale Upside85
Eligibility90
Bid Low / High0
£7.92M£9.45M
Valuation Drivers
Performance
POSITIVE+14.6%high

Strong composite role score (78/100) drives significant value uplift.

Age Curve
POSITIVE+1.5%low

Age 21 — strong upside window. Premium applied for development trajectory.

League Strength
POSITIVE+1.7%low

Strong league (strength 80/100). Stats carry good cross-league validity.

Contract Leverage
NEGATIVE-4.2%medium

Only 9 months remaining — contract cliff. Buyer has strong leverage; seller discount applied.

Injury Risk
NEGATIVE-5.0%medium

Manual review required because injury type, days missed, or recurrence data is incomplete. A 5% injury-risk discount was applied to FMV.

Wage Fit
POSITIVE+0.6%low

Weekly wage (7,000) is well within budget band. Strong affordability.

Tactical Fit
POSITIVE+0.6%low

Excellent tactical alignment (88/100). Player profile matches system requirements closely.

Resale Upside
POSITIVE+0.6%low

High resale upside (85/100). Strong development trajectory and sell-on potential.

Data Confidence
NEUTRAL+0.3%low

Moderate source coverage (68/100). Some data gaps widen the FMV range.

Scenario 2 — Prime Midfielder Fairly Priced

Age 27, Liga Portugal CM. Solid all-round stats, 30 months remaining, good wage fit, high confidence, no injury concerns. Expect: Fair Price, narrow FMV range.

Manual Review
FMV Low
£9.28M
FMV Base
£11.90M
FMV High
£15.04M
Risk-Adj FMV
£11.66M
Alpha
-6.7%
£-833K
Confidence
80/100
Exp. Acq. Cost
£12.49M
Walkaway
£13.83M
Tactical Fit74
Availability76
Wage Fit79
Injury Risk24
Verification Coverage82
Resale Upside48
Eligibility90
Bid Low / High0
£10.99M£13.11M
Valuation Drivers
Performance
POSITIVE+13.9%high

Moderate role score (74/100) — room for improvement limits premium.

Age Curve
POSITIVE+2.2%low

Age 27 — prime years. Full market premium applied.

League Strength
POSITIVE+1.3%low

Strong league (strength 76/100). Stats carry good cross-league validity.

Contract Leverage
NEUTRAL+0.0%low

30 months remaining — balanced negotiating position. No leverage adjustment.

Injury Risk
NEGATIVE-2.0%low

Manual review required because injury type, days missed, or recurrence data is incomplete. A 2% injury-risk discount was applied to FMV.

Wage Fit
NEUTRAL+0.5%low

Weekly wage (14,000) is well within budget band. Strong affordability.

Tactical Fit
NEUTRAL+0.4%low

Good tactical fit (74/100). Minor adaptation expected.

Resale Upside
NEUTRAL+0.4%low

Moderate resale upside (48/100). Some future value recovery expected.

Data Confidence
NEUTRAL+0.5%low

High source coverage (82/100). Valuation is well-supported by data.

Scenario 3 — Older Striker with Injury Discount

Age 33, Belgian Pro League ST. Decent stats but 65 days missed with recurrence, 10 months contract, low resale upside. Expect: Manual Review, significant injury discount.

Manual Review
FMV Low
£2.65M
FMV Base
£3.61M
FMV High
£4.77M
Risk-Adj FMV
£3.25M
Alpha
-9.5%
£-340K
Confidence
67/100
Exp. Acq. Cost
£3.59M
Walkaway
£4.38M
Tactical Fit62
Availability58
Wage Fit67
Injury Risk42
Verification Coverage72
Resale Upside18
Eligibility90
Bid Low / High0
£3.16M£3.77M
Valuation Drivers
Performance
POSITIVE+10.1%high

Moderate role score (68/100) — room for improvement limits premium.

Age Curve
NEGATIVE-4.8%medium

Age 33 — decline phase. Significant discount applied to reflect short career window.

League Strength
POSITIVE+1.1%low

Strong league (strength 74/100). Stats carry good cross-league validity.

Contract Leverage
NEGATIVE-4.2%medium

Only 10 months remaining — contract cliff. Buyer has strong leverage; seller discount applied.

Injury Risk
NEGATIVE-10.0%medium

Manual review required because injury type, days missed, or recurrence data is incomplete. A 10% injury-risk discount was applied to FMV.

Wage Fit
NEUTRAL+0.3%low

Wage is manageable but represents a meaningful budget commitment. Moderate fit.

Tactical Fit
NEUTRAL+0.2%low

Good tactical fit (62/100). Minor adaptation expected.

Resale Upside
NEUTRAL+0.1%low

Limited resale upside (18/100). Age or profile limits future sell-on value.

Data Confidence
NEUTRAL+0.3%low

Moderate source coverage (72/100). Some data gaps widen the FMV range.

Scenario 4 — Low-Data Player, Wide Confidence Range

Age 22, League One CB. Only 35/100 verification coverage, no wage data, no injury data, 800 minutes. Expect: confidence ~30, very wide FMV range, Manual Review.

Manual Review
FMV Low
£3.33M
FMV Base
£5.95M
FMV High
£9.10M
Risk-Adj FMV
£5.83M
Alpha
-4.5%
£-274K
Confidence
17/100
Exp. Acq. Cost
£6.11M
Walkaway
£8.37M
Tactical Fit70
Availability75
Wage Fit91
Injury Risk25
Verification Coverage35
Resale Upside72
Eligibility90
Bid Low / High0
£5.37M£6.41M
Valuation Drivers
Performance
POSITIVE+8.6%high

Moderate role score (62/100) — room for improvement limits premium.

Age Curve
POSITIVE+1.5%low

Age 22 — strong upside window. Premium applied for development trajectory.

League Strength
NEGATIVE-1.0%low

Lower-tier league (strength 52/100). Stats require upward calibration for elite competition.

Contract Leverage
NEGATIVE-1.8%low

18 months remaining — moderate leverage discount. Seller motivated to sell.

Injury Risk
NEGATIVE-2.0%low

Manual review required because injury type, days missed, or recurrence data is incomplete. A 2% injury-risk discount was applied to FMV.

Wage Fit
POSITIVE+0.7%low

Weekly wage (3,000) is well within budget band. Strong affordability.

Tactical Fit
NEUTRAL+0.3%low

Good tactical fit (70/100). Minor adaptation expected.

Resale Upside
NEUTRAL+0.5%low

High resale upside (72/100). Strong development trajectory and sell-on potential.

Data Confidence
NEUTRAL-0.2%low

Low source coverage (35/100). Wide FMV range reflects data uncertainty. Manual review recommended.

Scenario 5 — Short Contract, Strong Tactical Fit

Age 26, Championship CAM. 8 months remaining, excellent tactical fit (92/100), good performance, moderate confidence. Expect: Scout Now or Monitor Closely, contract leverage discount, positive alpha.

Manual Review
FMV Low
£6.45M
FMV Base
£8.58M
FMV High
£11.13M
Risk-Adj FMV
£8.15M
Alpha
-4.4%
£-377K
Confidence
72/100
Exp. Acq. Cost
£8.52M
Walkaway
£10.24M
Tactical Fit92
Availability72
Wage Fit81
Injury Risk28
Verification Coverage70
Resale Upside60
Eligibility90
Bid Low / High0
£7.50M£8.95M
Valuation Drivers
Performance
POSITIVE+14.3%high

Strong composite role score (76/100) drives significant value uplift.

Age Curve
POSITIVE+2.2%low

Age 26 — prime years. Full market premium applied.

League Strength
POSITIVE+0.9%low

Strong league (strength 72/100). Stats carry good cross-league validity.

Contract Leverage
NEGATIVE-4.2%medium

Only 8 months remaining — contract cliff. Buyer has strong leverage; seller discount applied.

Injury Risk
NEGATIVE-5.0%medium

Manual review required because injury type, days missed, or recurrence data is incomplete. A 5% injury-risk discount was applied to FMV.

Wage Fit
NEUTRAL+0.5%low

Weekly wage (11,000) is well within budget band. Strong affordability.

Tactical Fit
POSITIVE+0.6%low

Excellent tactical alignment (92/100). Player profile matches system requirements closely.

Resale Upside
NEUTRAL+0.5%low

Moderate resale upside (60/100). Some future value recovery expected.

Data Confidence
NEUTRAL+0.3%low

Moderate source coverage (70/100). Some data gaps widen the FMV range.

FMV Intel Dev Utility — Valuation engine v2.0. All calculations are deterministic. Replace calculatePlayerValuation with an ML inference API call to upgrade to a production model without changing the output shape.